Dios Freakin' Mio

A stretch?  Maybe.  But when you  start to think about  ways  in which the situation in Mexico is different from Pakistan the only obvious missing component is radicalized religious nonsense.  Granted, no small factor.  But the potential for extreme chaos on this side of the Rio Grande is so great that the possibility, however small, shouldn't be completely discounted.   Re-read your Huntington and finish The Black Swan